2021 London Mayoral Election Opinion Poll: Sadiq Khan set to Return as Mayor Once again

4 days ago 4

Sadiq Khan to be re-elected as London’s Mayor as per the latest 2021 London Mayoral Election Opinion Poll.

On 6th May 2021, London will elect its new mayor. The mayoral election was supposed to be held in May 2020 however, due to Coronavirus pandemic, the election got postponed to 6th May 2021. Currently, Labour’s Sadiq Khan is the mayor of London and in June 2018 he had announced that he will be running for re-election. He then automatically became the Labour’s candidate for the upcoming 2021 London Mayoral election.

2021 London Mayoral Election Opinion Poll: What happened in last election?

Last Election for electing Mayor of London was held on 5th May 2016. In first round of voting none of the candidate could cross the mark of 50% in order to get elected as mayor. Sadiq Khan represented Labour, Zac Goldsmith was the Conservative candidate and for Sian Berry represented the Green Party.

A total of 12 candidates were in fray of which only 3 candidates, Sadiq Khan, Zac Goldsmith and Sian Berry could cross the threshold of 5% votes in first round. In first round, Khan secured 44.2% vote share, Goldsmith got 35% vote share and Sian Berry got 5.8% vote share, Berry got eliminated in 2nd round and the final result was Khan 56.8% vote share and Goldsmith 43.2% vote share.

Sadiq Khan became the second Labour Party mayor of London after Livingstone and first Muslim of European Union Capital City.

What are the rules followed for electing Mayor of London?

Supplementary voting system is followed for the election of London’s mayor which means a voter is required to express their 1st and 2nd preference for the post of London mayor when they cast their votes.

If a candidates win the 50% of 1st preference of votes, the candidates get elected. If none of the candidate wins 50% vote share, 2nd round of counting is done. In this round, 2nd preference votes is considered keeping the 1st preference votes intact.

In this round, only top two candidates are retained while rest are eliminated. Votes of those voters whose 1st and 2nd preference candidates gets eliminated are not considered. Votes of voters whose 1st preference candidate got eliminated but 2nd preference candidate makes it to 2nd round are considered and added to 1st preference votes.

Any candidate among the two winning over 50% vote share is then elected as Mayor.

2021 London Mayoral Election Opinion Poll: Who are the candidates?

Like the last London mayoral, even this year there are number of candidates who are seeking votes for Mayor of London. Here are the candidates from the major political parties:

2021 London Mayoral Election Opinion Poll

2021 London Mayoral Election Opinion Polls: Important Dates

Publication of notice of election Monday 22 March 2021
Deadline for delivery of nomination papers 4pm on Tuesday 30 March 2021
Deadline for withdrawals of nomination 4pm on Tuesday 30 March 2021
Publication of first interim election notice of alteration Tuesday 30 March 2021
Publication of statement of persons (and parties) nominated Not later than 4pm on Thursday 1 April 2021
Deadline for receiving applications for registration Monday 19 April 2021
Deadline for new postal vote applications and for changes to existing postal or proxy votes 5pm on Tuesday 20 April 2021
Deadline for receiving new applications to vote by proxy (not postal proxy or emergency proxies) 5pm on Tuesday 27 April 2021
Publication of second interim election notice of alteration Between Wednesday 31 March and Tuesday 27 April 2021 (inclusive)
Publication of notice of poll Not later than Tuesday 27 April 2021
Publication of final election notice of alteration Wednesday 28 April 2021
Polling day 7am to 10pm on Thursday 6 May 2021

2021 London Mayoral Election Opinion Polls

The latest London Mayoral Election Poll show the current Mayor of London Sadiq ahead of Conservative candidate Shaun Biley by 21-point. The poll was conducted by Redfield & Wilton Survey. These were the findings of the polls as for the first preference votes: (The change in vote share is as compared to last survey released between 15-17 October. The latest poll is from survey done between 13-14 January)

Sadiq Khan (Labour) 49% (-1)

Shaun Bailey (Conservative) 28% (–)

Luisa Porritt (Liberal Democrat) 10% (–)

Sian Berry (Green Party) 9% (-1)

Peter Gammons (UKIP) 2% (NEW)

Other 3% (+1)

Here are the results of other opinion polls as shared on Wikipedia:

image 65Source and Pic Credit: Wikipedia

2021 London Mayoral Election Opinion Poll: Predicted Winner

The latest London Mayoral election opinion polls show return of Sadiq Khan as Mayor of London once again. The polls show he may win by a record margin in the upcoming election.

Also Read: 2021 German Federal Election Betting Odds Predictions and Opinion Polls

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